Algunos datos estadísticos de rentabilidad del Dow Jones y del Oro

Ten-Year Stock Market Cycle
Annual % Change in the Dow Jones Industrials Average*
Year of Decade
decades 1st 2nd 3rd 4th 5th 6th 7th 8th 9th 10th
1831-40 -0.9 13.0 3.1 -11.7 -11.5 1.6 -12.3 5.5
1841-50 -13.3 -18.1 45.0 15.5 8.1 -14.5 1.2 -3.6 18.7
1851-60 -3.2 19.6 -12.7 -30.2 1.5 4.4 -31.0 14.3 -10.7 14.0
1861-70 -1.8 55.4 38.0 6.4 -8.5 3.6 1.6 10.8 1.7 5.6
1871-80 7.3 6.8 -12.7 2.8 -4.1 -17.9 -9.4 6.1 43.0 18.7
1881-90 3.0 -2.9 -6.5 -18.8 20.1 12.4 -8.4 4.8 5.5 -14.1
1891-00 17.6 -6.6 -24.6 -0.6 2.3 -1.7 21.3 22.5 9.2 7.0
1901-10 -8.7 -0.4 -23.6 41.7 38.2 -1.9 -37.7 46.6 15.0 -17.9
1911-20 0.4 7.6 -10.3 -5.4 81.7 -4.2 -21.7 10.5 30.5 -32.9
1921-30 12.7 21.7 -3.3 26.2 30.0 0.3 28.8 48.2 -17.2 -33.8
1931-40 -52.7 -23.1 66.7 4.1 38.5 24.8 -32.8 28.1 -2.9 -12.7
1941-50 -15.4 7.6 13.8 12.1 26.6 -8.1 2.2 -2.1 12.9 17.6
1951-60 14.4 8.4 -3.8 44.0 20.8 2.3 -12.8 34.0 16.4 -9.3
1961-70 18.7 -10.8 17.0 14.6 10.9 -18.9 15.2 4.3 -15.2 4.8
1971-80 6.1 14.6 -16.6 -27.6 38.3 17.9 -17.3 -3.1 4.2 14.9
1981-90 -9.2 19.6 20.3 -3.7 27.7 22.6 2.3 11.8 27.0 -4.3
1991-00 20.3 4.2 13.7 2.1 33.5 26.0 22.6 16.1 25.2 -6.2
2001-10 -7.1 -16.8 25.3 3.1 -0.6 16.3 6.4 -33.8 18.8 11.0
2011-20 5.5 7.3 26.5 7.5
10 up
8 dn
11 up
7 dn
9 up
10 dn
13 up
6 dn
15 up
3 dn
10 up
8 dn
9 up
9 dn
14 up
4 dn
12 up
5 dn
1 flat
10 up
8 dn
Source: IA Securities
* Dow Jones Industrials and its predecessors.

Ten-Year Gold Cycle
Annual % Change in Gold
Year of Decade
decades 1st 2nd 3rd 4th 5th 6th 7th 8th 9th 10th
1961-70 -0.5 10.7 6.2 -8.9
1971-80 16.5 48.9 75.6 60.6 -23.3 -3.8 23.4 36.5 134.8 10.9
1981-90 -32.5 12.7 -14.4 -20.0 6.9 23.1 20.1 -15.7 -1.8 -1.6
1991-00 -10.6 -5.9 17.6 -1.9 1.0 -4.9 -21.5 -0.2 0.1 -6.0
2001-10 2.6 24.8 flat 25.6 18.2 22.8 31.4 5.8 23.9 29.8
2011-20 10.2 7.0 -28.2 -1.5
3 up
2 dn
4 up
1 dn
2 up
2 dn
2 up
3 dn
3 up
1 dn
2 up
2 dn
3 up
2 dn
3 up
2 dn
4 up
1 dn
2 up
3 dn
Source: IA Securities
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